What the Fed prime increases mean for the real estate market.
Last week, the Federal Reserve raised the prime interest rate, and every time that happens, I receive a flood of calls from concerned clients. Today I want to clarify what this means for the real estate market.
The Fed’s prime funds rate affects short-term interest rates, which impact loans, student loans, and credit card interest. It’s the rate at which the Fed charges banks to loan money. For example, if the Fed charges 2.5% interest, the bank will put a markup on the cost for customers to borrow money. When rates increase rapidly, that pushes up the cost of business and home equity lines of credit, short-term loans like auto loans, and credit cards. In turn, that makes it more expensive to borrow, reducing how much people spend their money.
On the other hand, long-term interest rates are dictated by the 10-year Treasury. Mortgages, treasuries, and stocks are all investments, and each comes with a rate of return. If someone gets a 30-year mortgage at 5.5%, that means the bank expects a 5.5% return over the life of the loan. That’s typically a very safe investment.
Of course, no investment is safer than a 10-year Treasury bond. With these, you buy the Treasury bond, which equates to the Treasury borrowing money from you. They’ll pay you whatever the current market rate is on the amount you bought—right now, the rate is around 3%.
When the Fed is increasing rates rapidly, the stock and bond markets start to go crazy. People pull their money out of the stock market, and that money flows into bonds or treasuries. When that happens, it pushes up bond yields, which start to return more money with the increase in demand.
When the Fed raises its prime interest rate, it ultimately doesn’t correlate with long-term rates. If you have any questions about interest rates’ impact on the real estate market or anything else, give us a call or send us an email. We’d love to help you better understand our current climate.
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